The US Treasury reveals its plans: trade, tariffs and money for the population

💼 Fresh statements from the US Treasury regarding China, tariffs, and payments to citizens: what is happening and what to expect.

The US Secretary of the Treasury issued a series of important statements that may significantly impact both the American economy and global markets, including cryptocurrencies. Let’s break down three key areas: China, tariffs, and potential payments to the population.

China
Negotiations between the US and China continue, and Donald Trump’s administration aims to finalize a deal by Thanksgiving. One of the most important elements of the agreement will be ensuring a free flow of rare earth metals into the US, which are critically important for the defense industry, electronics manufacturing, and high-tech solutions.

The Secretary emphasized confidence that Xi Jinping will fulfill the agreed commitments. This is a clear signal to the markets about the intention to reduce tensions and strengthen trust in the upcoming deal.

Tariffs
The Supreme Court is reviewing a case related to tariffs, which have already generated around 200 billion dollars. Despite the legal proceedings, the Treasury says the tariffs will remain in place, as the government has authority under the IEEPA law.

The Secretary warned that canceling the tariffs could cause significant chaos in the business environment: funds would have to be returned, contracts reviewed, and pricing adjusted. Essentially, the authorities hint that from an economic standpoint, cancellation would be a blow to businesses.

Payments to the population
The question of direct payments of 2000 dollars is still open — the decision requires approval from Congress, where opinions are divided. At the same time, a targeted payment option is being actively considered, focused primarily on families.

Starting in July, the launch of the “Trump accounts” program is planned — special accounts providing 1000 dollars for every child born on or after January 1, 2026. This is one of the notable elements of the new social policy, which could significantly boost consumer activity in the long term.

What this means for the crypto market

If the US finalizes a deal with China, global trade will receive a significant “dose of calm”. Some of the uncertainty that markets dislike will disappear. As risk declines, investors may return more actively to risk assets — and crypto usually reacts especially strongly.

Maintaining tariffs will continue to push inflation higher. Rising inflation traditionally supports interest in Bitcoin as a hedge against the weakening of the dollar. During periods of inflationary pressure, the crypto market often receives additional demand.

⚖ The potential payments to the population are a factor that should not be underestimated. The experience of 2020–2021 showed that part of the stimulus money inevitably flows into cryptocurrencies. If new payments appear, even selective ones, this will increase retail liquidity and revive interest in digital assets.