📊 Today, November 25, 2025, financial markets entered a new week at elevated speeds: Monday brought a confident rise in indexes (Nasdaq gained 2.7%, S&P 500 rose 1.6%), reflecting strong demand for the technology sector and expectations of monetary policy easing. However, already on Tuesday morning, futures show a decline, indicating a pause in investor sentiment and increased caution ahead of the release of key macroeconomic data.
The situation is complicated by the fact that a series of official statistics had been delayed due to the record-length U.S. government shutdown. Now the market is preparing for the release of retail sales data and the producer price index — these are expected to clarify the key question: is the economy slowing down or remaining resilient?
What is influencing the market now
Federal Reserve monetary policy.
Investors continue to build forecasts regarding the Fed’s December decision. The probability of a rate cut is estimated by the markets at around 85 percent, but inside the regulator there are doubts: some members are concerned about the lack of fresh data and the possibility of underestimating inflation risks. This creates uncertainty, which is reflected in the dynamics of futures and bond yields.
Technology sector and artificial intelligence.
AI remains the main locomotive of the stock market. Alphabet and Nvidia continue to demonstrate stable leadership. However, the first warnings have appeared on the horizon: well-known investor Michael Burry has pointed to signs of overheating and the possibility of a bubble forming in the high-tech segment.
At the same time, there is noticeable capital redistribution within the sector. Investors are exiting smaller AI players and reallocating funds into major infrastructure leaders, primarily Google and Broadcom. The drivers include new technological breakthroughs — the updated Gemini model and strong demand for specialized AI chips.
Potential partnership between Meta and Google.
Negotiations between the two giants regarding a multibillion-dollar deal in the TPU chip sector could become one of the most significant events for the AI infrastructure market. If the partnership is concluded, it will change the balance of power in computing capacity development and may create a new direction of competition.
Expectations for Dell and Alibaba reports.
Dell continues to actively expand its AI server business. Investors expect confirmation of the forecasted 15 percent annual profit growth and data on demand from major data centers.
Alibaba is preparing to release results that will show the state of the Chinese consumer market and the dynamics of the domestic technology sector. These figures are important for evaluating global growth prospects.
Bottom line for investors
The short-term backdrop remains mixed. On the one hand, expectations of a rate cut support the market and serve as an important driver for risk assets. On the other hand, futures indicate caution and the possibility of profit-taking ahead of macroeconomic releases.
The artificial intelligence segment maintains its leading role, but the risks of a bubble are increasing — sharp corrections in individual companies are not excluded.
In the coming days, attention should focus on the reports from Dell and Alibaba, the Google–Meta negotiations, retail sales data, the producer price index, and comments from Fed officials.
💡 All this will help determine whether the growth momentum persists or the market is preparing for a period of consolidation.
All content provided on this website (https://wildinwest.com/) -including attachments, links, or referenced materials — is for informative and entertainment purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Third-party materials remain the property of their respective owners.