The United States and Israel continue military actions against Iran, and Washington’s rhetoric is becoming increasingly tough. Donald Trump stated that potential candidates for the highest leadership positions in Iran were eliminated as a result of targeted operations. According to him, the current phase of confrontation could last up to four weeks. This means that markets are pricing in not a short-term spike in tension, but a full-fledged period of geopolitical turbulence with hard-to-predict consequences for the region and the global economy.
Amid the escalation, demand for safe-haven assets has sharply increased. Gold rose above the $5,400 per ounce mark. Formally, the move fits within the logic of a “flight to quality”: investors are reallocating capital from risky instruments into traditional defensive assets. However, more aggressive forecasts are already being voiced in the market — up to $6,000. Such expectations reflect not so much a fundamental assessment of the metal as the level of anxiety among market participants.
Bitcoin, in turn, already reacted to the geopolitical factor over the weekend, when traditional stock exchanges were closed. Quotes fell below key levels, after which the price stabilized near $66,000. The market is now searching for a local balance. At the same time, the overall technical trend remains downward: the structure of highs and lows indicates persistent selling pressure. Additional volatility may arise after the opening of trading in the S&P 500 index, since the equity market sets the overall risk appetite of global investors.
At the same time, important changes are taking place in the media space. The social network X updated its policy on paid integrations and removed “financial products” and cryptocurrencies from the list of prohibited categories. The head of the platform’s product division acknowledged that their previous inclusion in the banned list had been a mistake. This decision opens access for crypto companies and financial projects to official promotion formats with sponsored content labeling.
Against the backdrop of an active political and informational agenda, such a step looks strategically timely: control over information flows and promotion opportunities is becoming a separate element of market competition.
Additional pressure on commodity markets comes from the situation in Saudi Arabia. After a strike by an Iranian drone, operations at one of the world’s largest oil refineries — Ras Tanura — were halted. This facility plays a key role in the global supply chain of oil and petroleum products. If the escalation affects not only logistical routes, including the Strait of Hormuz, but also production or refining in Middle Eastern countries, oil prices may continue their rapid growth.
In such a scenario, the world will face not only military but also energy volatility, which will inevitably be reflected in inflation, stock markets, and currency exchange rates.
Taken together, the developments are forming a complex macroeconomic picture. Geopolitics is increasing demand for safe-haven assets, the crypto market is balancing between risk and speculative interest, and the energy sector is becoming a potential source of a new price impulse. The coming weeks promise to be extremely sensitive to the news flow, and any exp
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